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A U.S. Department of Commerce Ypsilanti Export Assistance Center Study

2001 Jackson County

International Economic Impact

Export Markets and Educational Institutions


 

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The Jackson County International Economic Impact Study was complied by Jim Secreto, Intern with the Ypsilanti Export Assistance Center, with assistance from Paul Litton, Director. This report is sponsored by the Ypsilanti Export Assistance Center, the Center for International Business Education at the University of Michigan, and the Eastern Michigan University College of Business.

For more information please contact:

U.S. Department of Commerce
Ypsilanti Export Assistance Center
College of Business
Eastern Michigan University
312 Owen Building
Ypsilanti MI 48197
Voice (734) 487-0259
Fax (734) 485-2396

As Jackson County's economy increases in size and scope, so does its impact on the global economy. While it easy to assume U.S. international business is limited to highly developed, urban centers like New York and Los Angeles, traditional, "nuts and bolts" economies like Jackson County's can still impact the international marketplace. An examination of the county's industrial base illustrates its level of international business activity.

This study attempts to gage Jackson County's current international economic impact and predict future trends in international business that will impact the county. The study focuses on both exports and education via local institutions. This report does not account for international service from the county because of the difficulty in tracking such transactions. The study also does not attempt to gage the impact of foreign subsidiaries or franchises abroad.

While Jackson County firms enter into the first domestic slowdown in the past seven years, this study foresees exports from Jackson to continue to be closely tied to the global expansion of the automotive industry. Local firms who are flexible, versatile, and able to leverage past export experience across a range of markets are likely to succeed in international marketplace.

Jackson County Overview

Located in South Central Michigan, Jackson County is the thirteenth largest county in Michigan. As of July 2001, the U.S. Census Bureau estimates Jackson County has a population of 158,442, and the county's largest city, Jackson City, has a population of 36,316. Since 1990, the county grew 5.9 percent in size.1

As of 2000 Jackson County has an active labor force of 78,700 people with 11,974 employed in manufacturing related positions.2 For the year 2000, the county had an unemployment rate average of 3.0 percent _ below the state and national average. In terms of international trade, Jackson is the ninth largest exporting area in Michigan and 203 in the U.S. with export value totaling over 159.7 million dollars.3 However, these statistics do not include the value of software or services exported from the county, and if included with the Census figures, the value would be greater.

Out of a total of 351 manufactures in the 1997 U.S. Economic Census, 30 percent or 102 firms are known exporters.4 This number which is higher that the average for both Michigan and all firm nationally, 20 and 8 percent respectively. (see figure 1.1) Part of Michigan and Jackson County's high level of exporting comes from the unique, pull-though effect of the large automotive presence in the area. According to a study of Jackson County companies by the Ypsilanti Export Assistance Center, an average of 12 percent of a firm's revenue was attributable to exports.

The President's "E" Award was created by executive order in 1961 as the nation's highest award to honor American exporters. Companies in Jackson County that have received the award include Dawn Products, which makes donut manufacturing equipment, and Aeroquip Engineered Systems Group, which makes products for the commercial aerospace industry.

Export Markets and Industries

The top Jackson County markets for export consist of the traditional industrial manufacturing sectors, including automotive parts, machine tools and metalworking, and general industrial equipment. According to the Ypsilanti Export Assistance database, machine tool and metalworking firms make up the largest number of exporters with 33 firms, and automotive parts manufactures come in second with 23 exporters. General industrial equipment firms also have a fair number of exporters, with 15 firms exporting in the county. (see figure 1.2)

Figure 1.1 Percent of firms exporting in Jackson County.

The top export markets for Jackson County tend to reflect countries in which U.S. automotive manufactures and suppliers have active operations. As the automotive industry continues to expand abroad, Jackson county exports consistently follow automotive manufactories into new international territory. While exports from the U.S. and Michigan go overwhelmingly to Canada and Mexico, exports from Jackson County also find a home in these countries because of the strong U.S. automotive presence in Canada and Mexico. However, recent automotive expansion into Argentina, Austria, Brazil, and China has meant Jackson County exports increasing go to less traditional destinations.

Argentina

Since Argentina opening and deregulation of the economy in 1991, the result has been modernization and a concentration of industrial plants, including significant amounts of foreign direct investment. Although regulations and tariffs barriers make it difficult to enter the market, companies like Ford have been able to enter and establish themselves and a portion of the total automotive market share. While demand for vehicles is not expected to increase rapidly, newly considered environmental and safety regulations may increase demand for higher technology products and benefit U.S. manufactures due to a lack of domestic production in Argentina.

Austria

As a member of the European Union and a country with a high standard of living, Austria is receptive o U.S. exports. Investment in the Austrian automotive market increased dramatically in the 1990s, due in part to the opening of a large Chrysler assembly plant for mini-vans and recently the PT cruiser.

Figure 1.2 Top three exporting industries in Jackson County by number of firms.

Brazil

Brazil has been a host of U.S. export for some time, especially in the automotive sector. Most global automotive companies (including GM, Ford, and Chrysler) have plants in the country, but strong local content restrictions limit U.S. exports to the country. Still, the downturn in the Brazilian and South American economy and an adverse effect on industrial purchasing and demand for automobiles. However, the established presence of manufactures suggests continued export interaction with Brazil.

China

The size and scope of China's automotive market has attracted most global automotive manufactures to the country. While the Asian financial crisis had an adverse effect on U.S. exports, demand is expected to grow slowly as economic liberalization continues.

Expected trends in exports

From 1993 to 1999, the Jackson area saw its value of exports increase 67 percent, from roughly 95.5 million dollars per year to 159.7 million dollars per year.5 (see figure 1.3) The estimated employment attributable to exports is 4,562 jobs, based on the U.S. Department of Commerce's assessment of $35,000 in export sales supports 1 U.S. job. This increase in exports is attributed to the general expansion of the automotive industry into foreign markets, as well as increased understanding of international sales. Generally, the U.S. Department of Commerce predicts international trade will grow at a rate of seven percent by 2002, and in the long term Jackson County's international economic impact will continue to grow.

Of the firms responding to the Jackson County International Economic Impact Study most were moderately optimistic about future of their firm's international sales. Firms were asked to access how the current economic slow down impacting their level of exporting on a scale from one to ten, with one representing a significant decrease and ten representing and significant increase. The average firm response was 4.7, suggesting the current domestic economic slowdown will have little if any expected impact on exporting. Firms were also asked to rank their own potential for international business in the future, with one representing a significant decrease and ten representing a significant increase. The average firm response was 5.7, suggesting a small trend toward increased international business from Jackson County.

Finally, a strong U.S. dollar will continue to have a negative impact on exports. While U.S. consumers benefit from a strong dollar, a strong dollar means U.S. goods and services are more expensive for foreign consumers and business that, as a result, tend to buy fewer U.S. products. Still, an appreciation for the quality or characteristics of U.S. good can mitigate the negative effects of a strong dollar, and this is likely for exports from Jackson County. While there are a limited number of statistics to track the effect of dollar value on exports, the National Association of Purchasing Management's New Export Orders Index showed little to no growth in exports for the beginning of 2001.6 This index, combined with the dollar's 15-year peak in value in 2001, suggests that exporters are feeling the effects of the strong dollar, at least in non-technology related industries.

Figure 1.3 Jackson area value of exports from 1993 to 1999 in millions of dollars

While there is no secret to successful exporting, Jackson County exports will continue to follow the automotive industry abroad. In addition, as Jackson's manufacturing base continues to diversify into non-automotive sectors, international markets will become increasingly important.

Educational Institutions

Education as a reverse export

Although focusing solely on traditional exporters like manufacturing when accessing Jackson County's international economic impact is the norm, educational institutions also contribute to the county's global influence and local economy. The U.S. Department of Commerce's International Trade Administration ranks international education as the U.S. fifth largest service sector export. Universities and colleges in Jackson bring in a small amount of economic revenue through international students, which in turn benefits business that would not normally profit from international sales. Industries such as retail trade, real estate, accommodation and food services, and entertainment and recreation all profit from this unique form of exporting.

Overview of international students in Jackson County

Jackson County has two educational institutions with international students, a private Free Methodist school, Spring Arbor University, and one community college, Jackson Community College. According to a survey conducted by the Ypsilanti U.S. Export Assistance center, these educational institutions have a combined enrollment of 51 full-time international students.7 Spring Arbor has the largest number of international students with 36, and Jackson community College has a total of 15 international students.

The total money spent by each international student (including tuition and living expenses) at all educational institutions in Jackson accounts for an estimated $903,360. International students spend the most money to attend Spring Arbor at $20,260 per student, for a total of $729,360. While the bulk of that money goes directly to the educational institutions in the form of tuition, an average of 40 percent, or a total of $361,344, goes into the local economy.8 International students attending educational institutions in Jackson County overwhelmingly come from Canada. The Immigration and Nationalization service requires each student, spouse, and family member to have $5,000 in cash upon arrival to meet anticipated annual costs, further adding to the local economic impact.

Significance of international students/educational export economic impact

Figure 2.1 International Student Enrollment in the U.S. from 1960 to 2000

The economic impact of international students is significant in Jackson County because it connects business that would not normal have international perspective to the global economy. International sales can be difficult if not impossible to small retailers and service provides. Yet, the substantial number of international students enrolled in Jackson County educational institutions provides an opportunity for increased business through existing sales channels. Additionally, most money coming from international students into the county comes from offshore, which means the money spent was not generated inside of Jackson County.

Expected trends in international student enrollment/educational exporting

International student enrollment in Jackson County is expected to remain steady and increase slowly over time. While statistics on Jackson County are not available, international student enrollment has increased nationwide since World War at an average rate of 3.7 percent between 1960 and 2000.9 Surprisingly, international student enrollment appears to be immune to either domestic or international economic crisis. The perceived value of an education in the U.S. outweighs many considerations international students might face at home.10 Logically, situations like the current strong U.S. dollar would make education in Jackson County more expensive for international students. And although the U.S. is down to 30 percent from 40 percent of the total international student market, the actual numbers of students continue to increase steadily.

1 U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Redistricting Data (P.L. 94-171)

2 Michigan Department of Career Development Monthly Statistics, May 2001

3 2000 Metropolitan Area Exports Study, U.S. Department of Commerce

4 Data complied from 1997 Economic Census and the Ypsilanti Export Assistance Center

5 2000 Metropolitan Area Exports Study, U.S. Department of Commerce

6 National Association of Purchasing Management New Export Orders Index

7 All educational institutions in Jackson County were sent a survey requesting their number of international students enrolled for the 2000-2001 academic year, average tuition student paid, and the number of international students from each country. Admissions departments at each institutions were then asked to estimate the total amount an international student would pay to attend the school, including lodging, food, books, and miscellaneous expenses. Where information was unavailable, $5,000 was estimated for lodging, $2,000 for miscellaneous expenses, and $500 for books.

8 Estimated total to attend school minus tuition

9 "Open Doors," Institute of International Education, 2000, http://www.opendoors.org 

10 "Students Seeking Foreign Education, India," International Marketing Insight, U.S. Foreign Commercial Service and U.S. Department of State, 2001


Date Updated: March 20, 2007

 

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