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2002 Jackson County International Economic Impact Study


Prepared by:

Rachel Cooper
Eastern Michigan University Masters Candidate

Executive Summary

As Jackson County’s economy increases in its size and capacity, so does the county’s impact on the global economy. It is easy to assume that U.S. international business is limited to highly developed metropolitan areas, but many people don’t realize that the impact of traditional economies such as that of Jackson County’s can still make a significant difference in the international marketplace. An examination of the county’s industrial base illustrates its level of international business activity.

This study is an attempt to gage Jackson County’s current international economic impact and predict future trends in international business that will impact the county. This study focuses on both exports and education via local institutions. The international economic impact study does not account for international service from the county because of the difficulty in tracking such transactions. The study also does not attempt to gage the impact of foreign subsidiaries or franchises abroad.

While Jackson County firms are currently experiencing a domestic slowdown, this study predicts that international relationships and global expansions will continue to make a significant impact on the county. Local firms who are flexible, versatile, and able to leverage past export experience across a range of markets are likely to succeed in the international marketplace.

Jackson County Overview

Covering 707 square miles in the South Central part of Michigan, Jackson County is the thirteenth largest county in the state. As of June 2002, the U.S. Census Bureau estimates that Jackson County has a population of 159,665, with Jackson being the largest city in the county having a total population of 36,700 for the year of 2002. The county grew 5.9% in size since 19901.

As of 2002 Jackson County has an active labor force of 80,600 with an unemployment rate of 6.4% higher than Michigan’s average unemployment rate of 6.6 percent. As of 1999 there were 12,455 employed in the manufacturing industry. The U.S. Census Bureau defines the manufacturing sector as the "comprised establishments engaged in the mechanical, physical, or chemical transformation of materials, substances, or components into new products." Establishments in the manufacturing sector are described as "plants, factories, or mills, and characteristically use power-driven machines and materials-handling equipment" 2. In terms of international trade, Jackson is the ninth largest exporting area in Michigan and 203 in the United States with export values totaling over 159.7 million. However these statistics do not include the value of software or services exported from the county, and if included with the Census figures, the value would be greater3.

Out of a total of 351 manufacturers in the most recent and available study in the 1997 U.S. Economic Census, 30 percent or 102 firms are known exporters4. These numbers are higher than the average for both Michigan (20 percent) and all firms nationally (8 percent). Part of Michigan and Jackson County’s high level of exporting comes from the unique, pull through effect of the large automotive presence in the area. According to a study of Jackson County companies by the Ypsilanti U.S. Export Assistance Center, an average of 12 percent of a firm’s revenues was attributable to exports.

The Ypsilanti U.S. Export Assistance Center wishes to recognize the efforts of the Jackson County Exporters. The Presidents "E" Award was created in December of 1961 by Executive Order, to afford suitable recognition to persons, firms, or organizations which contribute significantly in the effort to increase United States exports. The Presidents "E Star" Award, which began in August 1969 by the Secretary of Commerce, affords continuing recognition of noteworthy promotion efforts. There have been two companies in Jackson County who have received these awards. Dawn products, which makes donut manufacturing equipment, has received The Presidents "E" Award, and Aeroquip Engineered Systems Group, which makes products for the commercial aerospace industry, has received both The Presidents "E" Award, and The Presidents "E Star" Award.

EXPORT MARKETS AND INDUSTRIES

The top Jackson County export markets consist of the traditional industrial manufacturing sectors, including automotive parts and machine tools, metalworking and general industry equipment. According to the U.S. Ypsilanti Export Assistance Center database, machine tool and metalworking firms make up the largest number of exporters with 34 firms, automotive parts manufacturers have a total of 21 exporters, and general equipment industry has 17 exporters.

The top export markets for Jackson County tend to reflect countries in which U.S. automotive manufactures and suppliers have active operations. As the automotive industry continues to expand abroad, Jackson County exports consistently follow automotive manufacturers into new international territory. While exports from the U.S. and Michigan go overwhelmingly to Canada and Mexico, exports from Jackson County also find a home in these countries because of the strong U.S. automotive presence. However, recent expansion into Brazil and China has resulted in Jackson County exports going to less traditional automotive destinations as well.

Brazil

Brazil has the 9th largest economy in the world and represents a substantial market opportunity for United States exporters.5 In addition, Brazil and the United States share strong business relations with an expanding market. Due to the energy crisis and the severe economic recession in Argentina, the Brazilian economy has slowed dramatically over the past year, but is expected to recover within the next two years. In spite of the economic slowdown, the United States has remained Brazil’s largest single trading partner, with nearly one-quarter of its products exported to our country6. Brazil is one of the most attractive markets in the world for automotive parts, which is Jackson County’s number two exporting sector. There are currently an estimated fifteen major auto makers with production facilities in Brazil including GM, Ford, and Chrysler. The automotive sector ranks number 6 for the most profitable market sector in Brazil. Coming in at number 16 for "leading sectors for U.S. exports and investments" in Brazil is metalworking machinery, which is the number one sector for exports in Jackson County. Industry sources estimate that as of 2002 the market machine tools will increase by 5% per year through 20055. Despite the vast opportunities Brazil has to offer, there are still substantial obstacles for U.S. exporters such as high tariff barriers, an extremely difficult customs system, high tax burdens, and inefficient seaports.

Canada

The bilateral relationship between the United States and Canada is perhaps the closest and most extensive in the world. It is reflected in the incredible volume of trade (over $1 billion a day) crossing the U.S. Canadian border. In fields ranging from environmental cooperation to free trade, the two countries have set the standard by which many other countries measure their own progress. Over 80% of 1998 Canadian exports went to the United States and over 75% of 1998 Canadian imports came from the United States.7 The U.S. exported more to Canada in 2000 ($22,046,144 billion) than to its number two and three export markets combined (Mexico $16,491,118 billion, and Japan $1,393,223 billion).8 Canada’s importance to the United States is not just a border-state phenomenon: Canada is the leading export market for 35 of our 50 states9. This coupled with the decrease in tariffs due to the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), the increasing openness to foreign investment, deep cultural and historical ties, and strong awareness of business and technological developments in the United States, makes it clear as to why it is a the primary host for Jackson County Exports as well as the rest of the United States.

Mexico

The relationship of the United States with Mexico is of utmost importance for both countries. A mixture of mutual interests coupled with shared problems, growing interdependence, and different national perspectives shape the relationship between the U.S. and Mexico.10 In 1999, the United States accounted for 88 percent of Mexico’s exports and provided 74 percent of Mexico’s imports. Mexico has experienced an astonishing increase of 37.11% of U.S. exports.10 The United States exports more goods and services to Mexico than it does to all other countries in Latin America combined. Due to NAFTA and the fact the Mexico remains committed to the path of economic integration, Mexico is increasingly the destination for Jackson County exports. The automotive industry is considered one of the fastest growing sectors in Mexico. The United States contributed two-thirds of all imports with 20 percent of the total market with Jackson County accounting for close to 18 million of those dollars.

China

China is a market with immense potential. Foreign trade has grown from $38 billion in 1980 to over $361 billion in 199911. For over two hundred years foreign firms have been entranced by this vast potential of the Chinese Market, yet it remains largely unfulfilled. China is the world’s most populous nation, however the Chinese market is small and concentrated in a few areas. Not only is this country overpopulated it is technology-poor as well, although China’s increased economic development has positive effects for Jackson County exporters. While the thrust toward modernization and privatization over the past two decades has increased the opportunities for Jackson County business, making it the number one destination for machine tools and metalworking exports in the county, however China remains a difficult market to work with. Chinese people can be extremely hospitable and kind, yet everyday discourse in China is rude and confrontational and the China market is full of cheats and swindlers.11 Although most Chinese firms remain relatively small, under-capitalized and poorly managed, there are pockets of excellence. Chinas’ recent entrance into the World Trade organization (WTO) will allow for more open domestic markets to foreign firms and lower tariffs, as well as provide for a stronger protection for intellectual property rights. The entrance into the WTO is also believed to help with foreign firms earning the same rights and privileges to domestic firms.

Current and Future Trends in Local Exports

From 1993 to 1999, the Jackson County area saw its value of exports increase 67 percent, from roughly 95.5 million dollars per year to 159.7 million dollars per year12. The estimated employment attributable to exports is 4,562 jobs, based on the U.S. Department of Commerce’s assessment of $35,000 in export sales supports one U.S. job. This increase in exports is credited to the general expansion of the automotive industry into foreign markets, as well as increased understanding of international sales. Generally, the U.S. Department of Commerce predicts international trade will grow by 7 percent, and in the long term Jackson County’s international economic impact will continue to grow as well.

Firms in Jackson County who are involved with international exporting were asked to participate in a Jackson County International Economic Impact Study devised by the Ypsilanti U.S. Export Assistance Center, U.S. Department of Commerce. Samples of various firms were asked to respond to a series of 10 questions pertaining to international business. Where applicable, all firms were asked to respond on a sliding scale of 1 – 10, with 1 being the weakest and 10 being the strongest. The top three industries responsible for international trade in the county include Machine Tools and Metalworking, General Industry, and Automotive Parts, hence these are the industries that were sampled.

When asked the question "Are you optimistic about the future of your firms international exports?" the average response was a 4.25, meaning that the firms are modestly feeling the effects of the current economic slowdown.

The companies were then asked "Has September 11, 2001 caused a significant decrease in your firms business domestically, and internationally?" The reply was a 4.9 for domestic business and a 4.3 for international business, remaining constant with the previous response; again firms in Jackson County seem somewhat affected by the current recession.

The survey then proceeded to ask "Has September 11, 2001 inhibited international business travel with your firm, such as trade shows, meetings, etc?" Firms replied with a 2, meaning there had been little if any limitations on travel due to the recent tragedies.

The Ypsilanti U.S. Export Assistance Center, U.S. Department of Commerce then posed the question "Have you exported to new markets within the past year?" 33 percent of firms participating answered yes, with new markets such as Australia, Scotland, Thailand, and Brazil among the responses.

The survey than asked, "Do you have an e-commerce website?" An astonishing 83 percent of firms in the county have an e-commerce-enabled website and of those 83 percent, 50 percent of the firms’ customers are easily able to do business online.

The survey than proceeded with the question "As a percentage, how much of your business comes from International Sales?" Firms responded that an average of 13.8 percent of their business comes from international sales, and due to this, an average of 2.2 persons sole purpose in the company is related to international business.

Finally, The Jackson County International Business Survey asked "What is the number of business visitors from overseas who visit yearly, and what is the average length of stay?"

The average number of business visitors from overseas who visit yearly amounts to 10.3 and the average length of stay per firm is the duration of 3 days. It is estimated that each international visitor had a $200 per day economic impact on Jackson County.

Finally, a strong U.S. dollar will continue to have a negative impact in exports. While U.S. consumers benefit from a strong dollar, U.S. goods and services are more expensive for foreign consumers and businesses.  Therefore, they tend to buy fewer U.S. products. Still the value of American products, coupled with an appreciation for the quality or characteristics of U.S. goods can reverse the negative effects of a strong dollar, and this is likely for exports from Jackson County. While there a limited number of statistics to track the effect of dollar value on exports, the National Association of Purchasing Management’s New Export Orders Index showed little to no growth in exports for the beginning of 2001. This index combined with the dollar’s 15-year peak in value in 2001, suggests that exporters are feeling the effects of the strong dollar, at least in non-technology related industries.

While there is no secret to successful exporting, Jackson County exports will continue to follow the automotive industry abroad. In addition, as Jackson’s manufacturing base continues to diversify into non-automotive sectors, international markets will become increasingly important.

Educational Institutions - Education as a Reverse Export

Although focusing solely on traditional exports like manufacturing when accessing Jackson County’s international economic impact is standard, educational institutions also contribute to the county’s global influence and local economy. The U.S. Department of Commerce’s International Trade Administration ranks international education as the United States fifth largest service sector export bringing in $11 billion to the U.S. economy. Universities and colleges in Jackson County bring in a small amount of economic revenue through international students, which in turn benefits businesses that would not normally profit from international sales. Industries such as retail trade, real estate, accommodation and food services, and entertainment and recreation all profit from the unique form of exporting.

Overview of International students in Jackson County

Jackson County has two educational institutions with international students, a private Free Methodist school, Spring Arbor University, and one community college, Jackson Community College. According to a survey conducted by the Ypsilanti U.S. Export Assistance Center, U.S. Department of Commerce, these educational institutions have a combined enrollment of 51 international students.13 Spring Arbor has the largest enrollment with a total of 29 international students and Jackson Community College is not far behind with an international student population of 22.

The total money spent by each international student (including tuition and living expenses) at all educational institutions in Jackson County accounts for an estimated $1,421,973.12. International students spend the most money at Spring Arbor with an average of $21,300 per student, which totals to $1,235,400 when multiplied by the number of current international students. While the bulk of that money goes directly to the educational institutions in the form of tuition, an average of 40 percent goes into the local economy. International students attending Jackson County Community College spend an estimated $9,264.4 per year or $208,216 total for all international students. International students attending educational institutions in Jackson County overwhelmingly come from Canada, although there are students attending from diverse backgrounds and many different countries ranging from Africa to the Middle East. The Immigration and Nationalization service requires that each student, spouse, and family member to have $5000 in cash upon arrival to meet anticipated annual costs, further adding to the local economic impact.

Significance of International Students/educational

Export Economic Impact

The economic impact of international students is significant in Jackson County because it connects businesses that would not normally have international perspective to the global economy. International sales can be difficult if not impossible to small retailers and service providers. Yet, the substantial number of international students enrolled in Jackson County educational institutions provide an opportunity for increased business through existing sales channels. Additionally, most money coming from international students into the county comes from offshore, which means the money spent was not generated inside of Jackson County.

Expected Trends in International Student

Enrollment/educational Exporting

International student enrollment in Jackson County is expected to remain steady and increase slowly over time. While statistics on Jackson County are not available, international student enrollment has increased nationwide by a record total of 547,867 international students on U.S. campuses and enrollment rose at a rate of 6.4%. This was the largest increase since 1980 according to Open Doors 2001, the annual report on international education published by the Institute of International Education with the support from the State Department’s Bureau of Educational and Cultural Affairs.14 While, a number of colleges nationwide have experienced a dramatic increase in the enrollment of domestic students due to a decrease in jobs and our current recession, the population of international students have seen no change other than the average yearly increase of students. When asked to respond to the question "Are you optimistic about the future enrollment of international students?" Jackson Community Colleges response was exceptionally positive. Their College is anticipating a 59 percent increase in the next year and Spring Arbor is expecting to remain the same. The Department of Commerce also surveyed the effects that September 11, 2001 may have had on the enrollment with international students. In spite of recent tragedies, September 11 seemed to make no impact on the number of international students attending Spring Arbor and unexpectedly, Jackson Community College experienced a high increase of students.

Finally, developments in countries such as China and India suggest an increase of enrollment in the future. For instance, in August 2000, the Bank of China opened a loan program for students to study overseas, which should mean easier access to education. Similarly, the Federal Bank of India, which had not previously allowed foreign exchange to be remitted for educational expenses, now allows sponsors to remit expenses toward educational cost, making it easier for Indian students to study in the United States. Likewise, actions recently taken by the U.S. Department of Commerce through the "Study USA Program" encourage international students to study in the United States by offering several programs in all 50 states for undergraduate, graduate and high school international students. This program will promote a positive effect on enrollment in Jackson County due to a gain of new cultural perspectives for the county and a sense of stronger bonds within the county and the country of origin. Foreign exchange is also believed to promote a better knowledge of other societies along with building better relationships between countries, governments, and peoples.


Footnotes

1 U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Redistricting Data (P.L. 94-171)

2 Economic Census Reports – Manufacturing, US Census Bureau 
 
3 2000 Metropolitan Area Exports Study, U.S. Department of Commerce
 
4 Data compiled from 1997 Economic Census and the Southern Michigan Export Assistance Center.
 
5 Brazil County Commercial Guide FY 2002, U.S. Foreign Commercial Service and U.S. Department of State.
 
6 Brazilian Embassy in Washington, "Brazil Economic Briefing"
 
7 Background notes: Canada, August 1999, US Dept. of State. 
 
8 Michigan’s Role in International Trade, http://www.exportmichigan.com/michigan.htm
 
9 Background notes: August 1999, US Dept. of State.
 
10 Country Commercial Guide Mexico, U.S. & Foreign Commercial Service and U.S. Department of State 2001.
 
11 Country Commercial Guide China, U.S. & Foreign Commercial Service and U.S. Department of State 2001
 
12 International Trade Administration http://www.ita.doc.gov.
 
13 All educational institutions were contacted and asked a series of questions pertaining to the population of international students attending each school and average money spent by each of those students for tuition and yearly expenses.
 
14 Institute of International Education "Open Doors" http://www.opendoorsweb.org

Date Updated: March 20, 2007

 


 

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