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A U.S. Department of Commerce

Ypsilanti Export Assistance Center Study

2001 Washtenaw County
International Economic Impact
Export Markets and Educational Institutions

The Washtenaw County International Economic Impact Study was complied by Jim Secreto, Intern with the Ypsilanti Export Assistance Center, with assistance from Paul Litton, Director. This report is sponsored by the Ypsilanti Export Assistance Center, the Center for International Business Education at the University of Michigan, and the Eastern Michigan University College of Business.

For more information please contact:

U.S. Department of Commerce
Ypsilanti Export Assistance Center
College of Business
Eastern Michigan University
473 Owen Building
Ypsilanti MI 48197
Voice (734) 487-0259
Fax (734) 485-2396

 


As Washtenaw County's economy increases in size and scope, so does its impact on the global economy. While it easy to assume U.S. international business is limited to highly developed, urban centers like New York and Los Angeles, such an assessment does not account for the strong connections smaller economic area can develop to the global marketplace. Washtenaw County is no stranger to international business, and various characteristics of the area make Washtenaw's international economic impact even stronger.

This study attempt's to gage Washtenaw County's current international economic impact and predict future trends in international business that will impact the county. The study focuses on both exports and education via local institutions. This report does not account for international service from the county because of the difficulty in tracking such transactions. The study also does not attempt to gage the impact of foreign subsidiaries or franchises abroad.

While Washtenaw County firms enter into the first domestic slowdown in the past seven years, this study foresees little if any impact on international sales or international student enrollment. As export markets and the need for technology product abroad continue to grow, exports from the county will increase as well. Local firms who are flexible, versatile, and able to leverage past export experience across a range of markets are likely to succeed in international marketplace.

Washtenaw County Overview

Located 40 miles outside of Detroit, Michigan, Washtenaw County is the sixth largest county in Michigan. As of July 2001, the U.S. Census Bureau estimates Washtenaw County has a population of 332,895, and the county's largest city, Ann Arbor, has a population of 114,024. Since 1990, the county grew 14.1 percent in size.1 More than half of Washtenaw County's total population lives within the City of Ann Arbor and Ypsilanti township, and almost 70 percent of the population lives within four jurisdictions: the City of Ann Arbor, the City of Ypsilanti, Ypsilanti Township, ad Pittsfield Township. The Southeastern Michigan Council of Governments' (SEMCOG) predicts that this population growth will continue through 2020, with the 55 and older age group increasing by 95 percent.2

As of May 2001 Washtenaw County has an active labor force of 177,650 people with 35,590 employed in manufacturing related positions.3 For the year 2000, the county had one of the lowest unemployment rates in Michigan  - at an average of 2.0 percent, well below the state and national average. In terms of international trade, Ann Arbor is the 4th largest exporting area in Michigan and within the top 100 in the U.S. with export value totaling over 1.75 billion dollars.4 However, these statistics do not include the value of software or services exported from the county, and if included with the Census figures, the value would be substantially greater. Due to the manner in which the Census Bureau records software shipments, they are underreported by 92 percent.

Out of a total of 612 manufactures and software publishes identified in the 2002 U.S. Economic Census, 55 percent or 338 firm are known exporters, which is higher that the average for both Michigan and all firm nationally, 20 and 8 percent respectively.5(see figure 1.1) Part of Michigan's and Washtenaw County's high level of exporting comes from the unique, pull-though effect of the large automotive presence in the area. Ann Arbor has the highest number of exporting firms in Washtenaw County with 265, followed by Dexter with 27 and Ypsilanti with 23. (see figure 1.2) According to a study of Washtenaw County companies by the Ypsilanti Export Assistance Center, an average of 15 percent of a firm's revenue was attributable to exports. Additionally, the percent of revenue attributable to exports was as high as 47 percent in some cases.

There are also a number of Washtenaw County firms that have won the President's "E" or "E Star" Awards for Excellence in Exporting. The "E" Award was created by executive order in 1961 as the nation's highest award to honor American exporters. Companies in Washtenaw County that have received the award include Mechanical Dynamics, Inc., American Broach and Machine Company, Pahl Gelman Sciences, Sycor (purchased by Nortel Networks,) Sarms (now Terumo Cardiovascular Systems, and Whatman.

Export Markets and Industries

The top Washtenaw County industries for export consist of computer software and hardware, automotive parts, medical equipment, machine tools, and laboratory scientific equipment. According to the Ypsilanti Export Assistance Database, computer software and hardware firms make up the largest number of exporters with 116 firms, and auto parts and services comes in second with 32 exporters. Medical equipment, Machine tools, and Laboratory equipment have 26, 19, and 12 firms respectively. (see figure 1.3) More than 55 percent of the exporters are technology related.

The top export markets for Washtenaw County differ slightly than the export markets for the U.S. and Michigan. Exports from the U.S. and Michigan go overwhelmingly to Canada and Mexico, and other technologically rich countries of the European Union and Japan. While Canada and Mexico are very large export markets for the county, Washtenaw's exports markets also include China and India, relatively technologically poor countries. The reason for this difference in export markets is the high level of computer technology products from Washtenaw County, particularly from Ann Arbor. There is also a smaller yet substantial volume of automotive parts entering foreign markets from the county.

Figure 1.1 Percent of firms exporting in Washtenaw County.

 

 

 

Figure 1.2 Top three Washtenaw County cities by number of exporters.

Figure 1.3 Top five exporting industries in Washtenaw County by number of firms.

Canada

The proximity of Canada coupled with the increasing openness to foreign investment and decrease in tariffs due to the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) makes it understandable why it is the primary host for Washtenaw County exports. Geographic proximity, cultural and historical ties, and strong awareness of business and technological developments in the United States are key factors in the enormous volume of sales of US goods and services in the Canadian market. Additionally, the Detroit-Windsor border crossing is one of the busiest in the U.S. and largest in terms of export shipments to Canada. The US exported more to Canada in 2000 ($178 billion) than to its number two and three export markets (Mexico and Japan) combined. Since Canada has an affluent, high-tech industrial economy that closely resembles the United States in its per capita output, market-oriented economic system, and pattern of production, it is often the easiest international market for Washtenaw County exporters to enter.

Mexico

A mixture of mutual interests coupled with shared problems, growing interdependence, and different national perspectives shape the relationship between the U.S. and Mexico. Still, which the advent of NAFATA, Mexico is increasingly the destination for Washtenaw County exports. Mexico's characteristics combined with increasing demand for computer software and other technology-based products suggest a continuing market for the county. Mexico averaged roughly 4.8 percent growth and the U.S. Department of Commerce predicts the economy will continue to grow.6

China

For over two hundred years foreign firms have been entranced by the enormous potential of the China market, a potential that remains largely unfulfilled. In its position as the world's most populous country that is relatively technology-poor, China's increased economic development has positive effects for Washtenaw County exporters. While the thrust toward modernization and privatization over the past two decades has increased the opportunities for Washtenaw County business, China remains a difficult market to work with. However, China's recent entrance in to the World Trade Organization (WTO) will also improve the country's business climate by 1) open more domestic markets to foreign firms and lowering tariffs, 2) provide stronger protections for intellectual property, and 3) afford foreign firms the same rights and privileges and domestic firms.

India

As the world's second most populous country, India also serves as a large marketplace for Washtenaw County exports. Economic reform and liberalization of trade policy since 1991 have increased opportunities for foreign investment, and growth in technology and automotive have a positive impact on the county. Specifically,rigorous enforcement of copyright laws and a historically stable economy provide a favorable business climate. Yet, political conflicts, like India's nuclear weapons testing and failure to sign international non-proliferation treaties remain points of contention with the U.S. Although these conflicts tend not to influence existing business relationships between the countries, the conflicts distinguish countries like India and China from more developed U.S. relations with Canada and Mexico.

Expected trends in exports

From 1993 to 1995, the Ann Arbor area saw its value of exports drop almost 50 percent, from roughly 2.2 billion dollars per year to 1.1 dollars per year in 1995. (see figure 1.4) The decrease in exports was attributed to the closing of the General Motors Assembly Division at Willow Run and the bankruptcy of the General Automotive Corporation. However, since 1995, export sales have increased steadily to 1.75 billion dollars in 1999, the last year for which figures are available.7 Generally, the U.S. Department of Commerce predicts international trade will grow at a rate of seven percent by 2002, and in the long term Washtenaw County's international economic impact will continue to grow.

Of the firms responding to the Washtenaw County International Economic Impact Study most were moderately optimistic about future of their firm's international sales. Firms were asked to access how the current economic slow down impacting their level of exporting on a scale from one to ten, with one representing a significant decrease and ten representing and significant increase. The average firm response was 5.1, suggesting the current domestic economic slowdown will have little if any expected impact on exporting. Firms were also asked to rank their own potential for international business in the future, with one representing a significant decrease and ten representing a significant increase. The average firm response was 6.6, suggesting a small trend toward increased international business from Washtenaw County.

Finally, a strong U.S. dollar will continue to have a negative impact on exports. While U.S. consumers benefit from a strong dollar, a strong dollar means U.S. goods and services are more expensive for foreign consumers and business that, as a result, tend to buy fewer U.S. products. Still, an appreciation for the quality or characteristics of U.S. good can mitigate the negative effects of a strong dollar, and this is likely for exports from Washtenaw County. Since a large number of the county's export are technology related and a large number of these exports go to technologically poor countries, the increased price caused by a strong dollar may not have as large an impact. Often buyers from technologically poor countries lack a suitable domestic alternative for a technology product, and seek exports like those from Washtenaw County with less regard to price. While there are a limited number of statistics to track the effect of dollar value on exports, the National Association of Purchasing Management's New Export Orders Index showed little to no growth in exports for the beginning of 2001.8 This index, combined with the dollar's 15-year peak in value in 2001, suggests that exporters are feeling the effects of the strong dollar, at least in non-technology related industries.

Figure 1.4 Ann Arbor area value of exports from 1993 to 1999 in billions of dollars

There is no secret to successful exporting, but as more Washtenaw County firms become active exporters, it is important to understand why some succeed and others do not. As the old adage goes, "Technology Sells." Due to the Washtenaw's high concentration of technology companies, the county is well positioned for success in the international economy.

Educational Institutions

Education as a reverse export

Although focusing solely on traditional exporters like manufacturing when accessing Washtenaw county's international economic impact is the norm, educational institutions also contribute to the county's global influence and local economy. The U.S. Department of Commerce's International Trade Administration ranks international education as the U.S. fifth largest service sector export. Universities and colleges in Washtenaw bring in a large amount of economic revenue through international students, which in turn benefits business that would not normally profit from international sales. Industries such as retail trade, real estate, accommodation and food services, and entertainment and recreation all profit from this unique form of exporting.

Overview of international students in

Washtenaw County

Washtenaw County has two public universities (the University of Michigan and Eastern Michigan University) and one community college (Washtenaw Community College,) as well as two, smaller private colleges (Concordia College and Cleary College.) According to a survey conducted by the Ypsilanti U.S. Export Assistance center, these educational institutions have a combined enrollment of 5,548 full-time international students.9 The University of Michigan has the largest number of international students with 4005 undergraduate and graduate students, and Eastern Michigan University comes in second with 1231 undergraduate and graduate students. Notably, the University of Michigan- Ann Arbor's international student enrollment is the highest in Michigan, as well as the seventh largest in the nation.10

The total money spent by each international student (including tuition and living expenses) at all educational institutions in Washtenaw accounts for an estimated $151,338,042. International students spend the most money to attend the University of Michigan at $31,759 per students, for a total of $127,194,795. Those at Eastern Michigan University come in second with $17,037 per international student, for a total of $20,972,547. While the bulk of that money goes directly to the educational institutions in the form of tuition, an average of 40 percent, or a total of $59,358,736, goes into the local economy.11 Again, the University of Michigan- Ann Arbor had the highest economic impact from international students in Michigan.

Figure 2.1 Enrollment of international students in Washtenaw County educational institutions.

International students attending educational institutions in Washtenaw County overwhelmingly come from Asia. China has the most students studying in Washtenaw County with 683 students, and India and Korea are next with 561 and 539 student respectively. The only non-Asian country with students in the county within the top eight is Canada, which comes in fourth with 300 international students. The top countries of origin for international students I Washtenaw County corresponds with the top countries of origin for the entire U.S.

Significance of international students/educational export economic impact

The economic impact of international students is significant in Washtenaw County because it connects business that would not normal have international perspective to the global economy. International sales can be difficult if not impossible to small retailers and service provides. Yet, the substantial number of international students enrolled in Washtenaw County educational institutions provides an opportunity for increased business through existing sales channels. Additionally, most money coming from international students into the county comes from offshore, which means the money spent was not generated inside of Washtenaw County.

The large number of international students also has a positive effect on Washtenaw County employment. The U.S. Department of Commerce estimates that every $35,000 worth of exports creates one job. Because the University of Michigan is the county's largest employer with over 25,000 employees, it is likely that a number of jobs in the educational field are supported directly by international students. While it is difficult to estimate the impact of international students' additional expenses outside of tuition on employment, the high level of total economic impact suggests international students support a number of workers in fields that traditionally do not benefit from exporting.

Expected trends in international student enrollment/educational exporting

International student enrollment in Washtenaw County is expected to remain high and increase slowly over time. While statistics on Washtenaw County are not available, international student enrollment has increased nationwide since World War at an average rate of 3.7 percent between 1960 and 2000.12 Surprisingly, international student enrollment appears to be immune to either domestic or international economic crisis. While the Asian finical crisis did effect the counties of origin of international students in Washtenaw County, it did not effect the overall number of international students enrolled.13 Still, the perceived value of an education in the U.S. outweighs many considerations international students might face at home.14 Logically, situations like the current strong U.S. dollar would make education in Washtenaw County more expensive for international students. And although the U.S. has is down to 30 percent from 40 percent of the total international student market, the actual numbers of students continue to increase steadily.

Figure 2.2 Economic impact of international students in Washtenaw County by school.

Figure 2.3 Percent of international students from country of origin in Washtenaw County

Figure 2.4 Number of international students in Washtenaw County by country of origin.

Figure 2.5 International Student Enrollment in the U.S. from 1960 to 2000

Finally, developments in the largest countries of origin for international students in Washtenaw County suggest increased enrollment in the future. For instance, in August 2000, the Bank of China opened a loan program for students to study overseas, which should mean easier access to education. Similarly, the Federal Bank of India, which had not previously allowed foreign exchange to be remitted for educational expenses, will now allows sponsored to remit expenses toward educational cost, making it easier for India students to study in the U.S.. Actions by the U.S. Department of Commerce recently to encourage international students to study in the use will have a positive effect on enrollment in Washtenaw County.

1 U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Redistricting Data (P.L. 94-171)

2 SEMCOG Regional Development Forecast, 1996

3 Michigan Department of Career Development Monthly Statistics, May 2001

4 2000 Metropolitan Area Exports Study, U.S. Department of Commerce

5 Data complied from 1997 Economic Census and the Ypsilanti Export Assistance Center Data Base. The number of software publishers used differs from the economic census and is estimated at 200 by the Ypsilanti Export Assistance Center due to the industries volatile nature.

6 Country Commercial Guide Mexico, U.S. & Foreign commercial Service and U.S. Department of State, 1999

7 2000 Metropolitan Area Exports Study, U.S. Department of Commerce

8 National Association of Purchasing Management New Export Orders Index

9 All educational institutions in Washtenaw County were sent a survey requesting their number of international students enrolled for the 2000-2001 academic year, average tuition student paid, and the number of international students from each country. Admissions departments at each institutions were then asked to estimate the total amount an international student would pay to attend the school, including lodging, food, books, and miscellaneous expenses. Where information was unavailable, $5,000 was estimated for lodging, $2,000 for miscellaneous expenses, and $500 for books.

10 "Open Doors," Institute of International Education, 2000, http://www.opendoors.org 

11 Estimated total to attend school minus tuition

12 "Open Doors," Institute of International Education, 2000, http://www.opendoors.org 

13 International Center, University of Michigan

14 "Students Seeking Foreign Education, India," International Marketing Insight, U.S. Foreign Commercial Service and U.S. Department of State, 2001


Date Updated: March 20, 2007

 

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